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Technology

Accelerating

AI coding assistants and autonomous agents are reshaping software development, with junior roles most exposed. Tech companies are cutting headcount while AI output scales.

7.6
Risk Score
2.2M
Jobs at Risk
1.9M
2030 Projection
5
Displacement Events

Risk Trajectory (2024–2030)

Key AI Capabilities

Code generation and completion
Automated testing and bug detection
Code review and refactoring
Documentation generation
Autonomous software agent tasks

Notable Events

Jan 2024
HIGH
Google
Lays off 12,000 employees; AI cited in restructuring plans
Apr 2024
HIGH
IBM
CEO announces pause on hiring ~7,800 roles expected to be replaced by AI over 5 years
Jul 2024
MEDIUM
Microsoft
Cuts 1,000 jobs; gaming and Azure divisions affected; GitHub Copilot replacing junior tasks
Mar 2025
HIGH
Salesforce
Marc Benioff: AI agents will replace 30% of software engineers by 2026
Sep 2025
HIGH
Cognizant
Plans to reduce 12,000 IT services jobs over 18 months due to AI automation

Roles Within Technology — By Vulnerability

Data Entry Analyst
Timeline: 2024-2025 · Salary: $36,000
9.2
Junior Software Developer
Timeline: 2026-2028 · Salary: $75,000
7.8
QA Engineer
Timeline: 2026-2028 · Salary: $70,000
6.9

What to Do — Reskilling Paths

→Develop AI orchestration and agent engineering skills
→Specialize in system architecture (less automatable)
→Focus on product thinking and user research
→Learn AI/ML ops and infrastructure
→Develop security and adversarial AI expertise